The most likely outcome in every Championship match this weekend, according to statistics

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There might be plenty of Premier League action and a Carabao Cup final this weekend – but let’s not forget the Championship.

England’s second tier is shaping up to have a thrilling finish at both ends of the table as it, once again, proves to be one of the best leagues in the world.

You will be able to listen to Saturday evening’s match between West Bromwich Albion and Sheffield United live on talkSPORT 2 as both teams attempt to increase their chances of promotion.

Meanwhile, on Monday night there is set to be a crunch clash between rivals Nottingham Forest and Derby County at the City Ground.

But we wouldn’t like to predict what the outcome will be in these matches – instead we’ll leave it to some people with fantastic knowledge and a tested system.

FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers and given the likeliness of each outcome in every game, but what do they think will happen? Find out below.

*All figures are rounded and may not total 100 per cent

Birmingham City v Blackburn (Saturday at 3pm)

Birmingham win – 50 per cent chance of happening

Blackburn win – 23 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 26 per cent chance of happening

Brentford v Hull City (Saturday at 3pm)

Brentford win – 51 per cent chance of happening

Hull win – 24 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 26 per cent chance of happening

Leeds United v Bolton Wanderers (Saturday at 3pm)

Leeds win – 73 per cent chance of happening

Bolton win – Seven per cent chance of happening

Draw – 19 per cent chance of happening

Middlesbrough v Queens Park Rangers (Saturday at 3pm)

Middlesbrough win – 55 per cent chance of happening

QPR win – 19 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 26 per cent chance of happening

Millwall v Preston North End (Saturday at 3pm)

Millwall win – 42 per cent chance of happening

Preston win – 28 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 30 per cent chance of happening

Norwich City v Bristol City (Saturday at 3pm)

Norwich win – 53 per cent chance of happening

Bristol win – 21 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 26 per cent chance of happening

Reading v Rotherham (Saturday at 3pm)

Reading win – 37 per cent chance of happening

Rotherham win – 35 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 28 per cent chance of happening

Sheffield Wednesday v Swansea City (Saturday at 3pm)

Sheffield Wednesday win – 36 per cent chance of happening

Swansea win – 36 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 28 per cent chance of happening

Stoke v Aston Villa (Saturday at 3pm)

Stoke win – 40 per cent chance of happening

Aston Villa win – 31 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 29 per cent chance of happening

Wigan Athletic v Ipswich (Saturday at 3pm)

Wigan win – 54 per cent chance of happening

Ipswich win – 18 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 29 per cent chance of happening

West Bromwich Albion v Sheffield United (Saturday at 5:30pm) – live on talkSPORT 2

West Brom win – 36 per cent chance of happening

Sheffield United win – 36 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 28 per cent chance of happening

Nottingham Forest v Derby County

Nottingham Forest win – 43 per cent chance of happening

Derby win – 28 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 30 per cent chance of happening